Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-4
1–2
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
01611206134
SEA
06211010227
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Avalanche trail the series 3–4
COL 3-4 · SEA 4-3 · Game 7 — the Avalanche trail the series 3–4
Avalanche fell to the Kraken
The Avalanche created the better chances (2.4 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Philipp Grubauer stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 2.4 xG · 34 shots
SEA 1.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 03:24 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 07:22 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:32 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 65.
COL 65%SEA 35%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 03:24 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 07:22 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:32 · PP · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.