COL
6–4
CAR
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-0-0
6–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1125807627
CAR
1621615427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 5-0-0 · CAR 3-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Avalanche won 6–4. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 2.6 xG · 27 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 16:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ryan Johansen · 1st 19:54 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 01:57 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:17 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 10:42 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Fredrik Olofsson · 2nd 12:21 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 14:10 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:57 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:35 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 12:26 · 6–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 47.
COL 47%CAR 53%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 16:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Ryan Johansen · 1st 19:54 · PP · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 01:57 · SH · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:17 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 10:42 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Fredrik Olofsson · 2nd 12:21 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 14:10 · PP · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:57 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:35 · PP · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 12:26 · 6–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
