Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-2-0
4–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2801129428
STL
0711308128
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 7-2-0 · STL 3-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blues
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.0 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–1. Ivan Prosvetov stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 28 shots
STL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 08:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 13:19 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Robert Thomas · 2nd 17:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:41 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Bowen Byram · 3rd 07:59 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 53.
COL 53%STL 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 08:53 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 13:19 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Robert Thomas · 2nd 17:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 01:41 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Bowen Byram · 3rd 07:59 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.