Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-3-0
6–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 7-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11129312632
NJD
182807323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 8-3-0 · NJD 7-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Devils
The Avalanche earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 1.7, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 3.7 xG · 32 shots
NJD 1.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 03:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 15:50 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 02:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 11:04 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Miles Wood · 2nd 11:45 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 15:04 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 07:37 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 09:45 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:33 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 80.
COL 80%NJD 20%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 03:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 15:50 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 02:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Timo Meier · 2nd 11:04 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Miles Wood · 2nd 11:45 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 15:04 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 07:37 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 09:45 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:33 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.