Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-4-0
3–4
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 5-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0102917326
SEA
182915422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 8-4-0 · SEA 5-6-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Kraken
The Avalanche were outchanced (2.8 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Bjorkstrand's winner came with 0:32 left. Ivan Prosvetov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 22 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.0 xG · 26 shots
SEA 2.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 18:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 04:29 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 04:57 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matty Beniers · 2nd 11:35 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:15 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 19:28 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 36.
COL 36%SEA 64%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 18:39 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 2nd 04:29 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 04:57 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matty Beniers · 2nd 11:35 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:40 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:15 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 19:28 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.