Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-5-0
2–8
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 7-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
013111114238
STL
31716419842
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 8-5-0 · STL 7-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Blues
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.6 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 2–8. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 38 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 38 shots
STL 4.6 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 2.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 01:08 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 18:53 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Torey Krug · 1st 19:58 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 11:52 · 0–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:07 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 01:20 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 02:49 · 1–6 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 15:57 · 1–7 · backhand shot, a great chance (47%)
9
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 19:11 · 1–8 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
10
· 3rd 19:32 · 2–8 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 26.
COL 26%STL 74%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 01:08 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 18:53 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Torey Krug · 1st 19:58 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 11:52 · SH · 0–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:07 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 01:20 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 02:49 · PP · 1–6
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 15:57 · SH · 1–7
Backhand shot, a great chance (47%)
9
Alexey Toropchenko · 3rd 19:11 · 1–8
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
10
· 3rd 19:32 · 2–8
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.