COL
8–2
ANA
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 10-5-0
8–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 9-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
217111510838
ANA
130915217
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 10-5-0 · ANA 9-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Ducks
The Avalanche earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 1.6, and a 8–2 win to show for it. Lukas Dostal allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 38 and 17 shots on goal.
COL 4.4 xG · 38 shots
ANA 1.6 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Samuel Girard · 1st 06:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:40 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Sam Carrick · 1st 19:27 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Fredrik Olofsson · 2nd 14:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 03:53 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 05:51 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Max Jones · 3rd 09:41 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 13:13 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 13:34 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Devon Toews · 3rd 15:18 · 8–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 87.
COL 87%ANA 13%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Samuel Girard · 1st 06:40 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:40 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Sam Carrick · 1st 19:27 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Fredrik Olofsson · 2nd 14:33 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 03:53 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 05:51 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Max Jones · 3rd 09:41 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 13:13 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 13:34 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Devon Toews · 3rd 15:18 · 8–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Samuel Girard, Alexandar Georgiev · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6–2
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/38 saves · 8 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
