COL
5–2
VAN
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-6-0
5–2
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 13-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2130735525
VAN
11111107229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 12-6-0 · VAN 13-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Canucks
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.5 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–2. Thatcher Demko allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.3 xG · 25 shots
VAN 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 16:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 17:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 18:43 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
J.T. Miller · 2nd 09:04 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Riley Tufte · 3rd 01:24 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 12:38 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 16:38 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 45.
COL 45%VAN 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nils Hoglander · 1st 16:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 17:37 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 18:43 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
J.T. Miller · 2nd 09:04 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Riley Tufte · 3rd 01:24 · GWG · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 12:38 · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 16:38 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
