COL
3–1
CGY
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 14-6-0
3–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 8-10-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1102806324
CGY
04111015130
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 14-6-0 · CGY 8-10-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Flames
The Avalanche earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, and a 3–1 win to show for it. The Avalanche owned the 1st period, 1.8 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 24 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 24 shots
CGY 1.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 06:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 10:10 · 2–0 · wrap around shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 12:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 12:37 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 69.
COL 69%CGY 31%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 06:31 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 10:10 · GWG · 2–0
Wrap around shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 12:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 12:37 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
