COL
3–2
ANA
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 16-7-2
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 10-15-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1911219330
ANA
01207214233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 16-7-2 · ANA 10-15-0 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Ducks
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 30 and 33 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 30 shots
ANA 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kurtis MacDermid · 1st 01:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 17:43 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 06:21 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sam Carrick · 3rd 10:43 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
5
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 14:11 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 56.
COL 56%ANA 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kurtis MacDermid · 1st 01:40 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 17:43 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 06:21 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sam Carrick · 3rd 10:43 · SH · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
5
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 14:11 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Jonathan Drouin · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–0
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
