Colorado Avalanche
COL · 16-8-2
2–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 15-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0921609234
WPG
1921316428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 16-8-2 · WPG 15-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Jets
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.2 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 34 shots
WPG 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 19:57 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:32 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:30 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 15:13 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 19:29 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (48%)
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 19:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 69.
COL 69%WPG 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Lowry · 1st 19:57 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:32 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:30 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 15:13 · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 19:29 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (48%)
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.