COL
2–5
PHI
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 16-9-2
2–5
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 15-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
113115010238
PHI
112212210534
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 16-9-2 · PHI 15-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Flyers
The Avalanche were outchanced (3.8 to 3.1 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Ivan Prosvetov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 38 shots on goal.
COL 3.1 xG · 38 shots
PHI 3.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 17:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 09:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 11:17 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 12:28 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Travis Konecny · 3rd 09:31 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
7
Joel Farabee · 3rd 10:17 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 39.
COL 39%PHI 61%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Travis Konecny · 1st 17:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:59 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 09:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 11:17 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 12:28 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Travis Konecny · 3rd 09:31 · PS · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
7
Joel Farabee · 3rd 10:17 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
