COL
6–5
CGY
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 17-9-2
6–5
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 11-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11528315638
CGY
17414011532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 17-9-2 · CGY 11-14-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Flames
Down 3–5 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Rantanen's equalizer — and won 6–5. Dan Vladar allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.4, on 38 and 32 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 38 shots
CGY 3.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 13:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tomas Tatar · 1st 18:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 01:43 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 05:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 13:21 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Ben Meyers · 2nd 14:57 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Connor Zary · 2nd 16:19 · 3–4 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:34 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 11:20 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:31 · 5–5 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:30 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 47.
COL 47%CGY 53%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 13:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tomas Tatar · 1st 18:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 01:43 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 05:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 13:21 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Ben Meyers · 2nd 14:57 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Connor Zary · 2nd 16:19 · 3–4
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:34 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 11:20 · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:31 · 5–5
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:30 · GWG · 6–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/11 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
