COL
5–1
BUF
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 18-9-2
5–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 12-15-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
3150529529
BUF
1601509130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 18-9-2 · BUF 12-15-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Sabres
The Avalanche earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:25 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 10:28 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Miles Wood · 1st 11:55 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Zach Benson · 1st 18:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Malinski · 3rd 02:40 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:11 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 66.
COL 66%BUF 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:25 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 10:28 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Miles Wood · 1st 11:55 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Zach Benson · 1st 18:38 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Sam Malinski · 3rd 02:40 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:11 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
1
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
4
Rasmus Dahlin, JJ Peterka · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
