COL
6–2
SJS
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 19-10-2
6–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 9-19-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
3151628629
SJS
0717113227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 19-10-2 · SJS 9-19-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Sharks
The Avalanche earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 2.7, and a 6–2 win to show for it. The Avalanche owned the 1st period, 2.2 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 4.9 xG · 29 shots
SJS 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
1.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 07:18 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 12:15 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Miles Wood · 1st 18:20 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 03:44 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 09:01 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 09:01 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:45 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:11 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 80.
COL 80%SJS 20%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 07:18 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 12:15 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Miles Wood · 1st 18:20 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 03:44 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 09:01 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Johansen · 3rd 09:01 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:45 · PP · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:11 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
5
Mikael Granlund, Alexander Barabanov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 4.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
