COL
6–4
OTT
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 20-11-2
6–4
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 11-17-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
22011237639
OTT
29221015445
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 20-11-2 · OTT 11-17-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Senators
Down 2–4 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won 6–4. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.8, on 39 and 45 shots on goal.
COL 3.6 xG · 39 shots
OTT 3.8 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:43 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 15:13 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 15:28 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:28 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 2nd 01:32 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:47 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:43 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:16 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:10 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:37 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 47.
COL 47%OTT 53%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:43 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Josh Norris · 1st 15:13 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ridly Greig · 1st 15:28 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:28 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 2nd 01:32 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:47 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 19:43 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:16 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:10 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
7
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
