Colorado Avalanche
COL · 23-11-3
3–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 9-25-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
110011212333
SJS
031602111
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
COL 23-11-3 · SJS 9-25-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
Avalanche beat the Sharks
The Avalanche earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 0.8, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 0.8, on 33 and 11 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 33 shots
SJS 0.8 xG · 11 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:58 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 16:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Josh Manson · 3rd 18:53 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 92.
COL 92%SJS 8%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:58 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 16:53 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Josh Manson · 3rd 18:53 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/11 saves · 1 GA · 0.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.