COL
5–4
NYI
Final / OT · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 24-11-3
5–4
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 17-10-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
11621011211539
NYI
28290500422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 24-11-3 · NYI 17-10-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Islanders
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Nichushkin's equalizer — and won it in overtime on MacKinnon's goal. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
COL 3.6 xG · 39 shots
NYI 1.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 05:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Devon Toews · 1st 06:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 19:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 01:09 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:18 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
6
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 08:24 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alexander Romanov · 2nd 10:18 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:21 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 00:32 · 5–4 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 80.
COL 80%NYI 20%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 05:39 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Devon Toews · 1st 06:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 19:28 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 01:09 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:18 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
6
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 08:24 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Alexander Romanov · 2nd 10:18 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 12:21 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 00:32 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
