COL
4–8
FLA
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 25-12-3
4–8
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 25-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0831414426
FLA
31017412829
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 25-12-3 · FLA 25-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.7 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 4–8. Ivan Prosvetov allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 26 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.3 xG · 26 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 01:10 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 03:02 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 07:41 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 00:21 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 00:52 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:35 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 08:50 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 03:31 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 05:59 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
10
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 08:59 · 4–6 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
11
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:17 · 4–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
12
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 16:54 · 4–8 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 42.
COL 42%FLA 58%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 01:10 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 03:02 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 1st 07:41 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 00:21 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 00:52 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:35 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 08:50 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 03:31 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 05:59 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
10
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 08:59 · 4–6
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
11
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:17 · 4–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
12
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 16:54 · EN · 4–8
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
7
Aleksander Barkov, Evan Rodrigues · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/13 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
