Colorado Avalanche
COL · 31-14-3
6–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-18-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
19312210631
WSH
0100926225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 31-14-3 · WSH 22-18-6 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Capitals
The Avalanche earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Charlie Lindgren allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 31 shots
WSH 2.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 19:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:39 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:00 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 09:16 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 07:26 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 10:20 · 5–1 · bat shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:14 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:37 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 59.
COL 59%WSH 41%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 19:23 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 02:39 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:00 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 09:16 · 4–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 07:26 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 10:20 · 5–1
Bat shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:14 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 17:37 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.