Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-14-3
5–1
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 22-15-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
31211118531
LAK
07110010127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 32-14-3 · LAK 22-15-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Kings
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.0 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–1. Cam Talbot allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 2.2 xG · 31 shots
LAK 2.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 07:44 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Logan O'Connor · 1st 14:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 06:20 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 11:44 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 00:31 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 54.
COL 54%LAK 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 07:44 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Logan O'Connor · 1st 14:55 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:30 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 06:20 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Josh Manson · 2nd 11:44 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 00:31 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Samuel Girard, Alexandar Georgiev · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.