COL
3–4
TOR
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 35-19-5
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 33-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2110919329
TOR
11221414430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 35-19-5 · TOR 33-16-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Maple Leafs
The Avalanche let a 2–0 lead get away: the Maple Leafs came back with four unanswered goals — Bertuzzi's equalizer — and won 3–4. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 29 shots
TOR 2.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 02:16 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 11:07 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 13:42 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 14:45 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:48 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:41 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 17:09 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 58.
COL 58%TOR 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 02:16 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 11:07 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 13:42 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 14:45 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:48 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:41 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 17:09 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
