COL
5–1
DAL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 36-19-5
5–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 35-17-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2153606527
DAL
11101508134
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
COL 36-19-5 · DAL 35-17-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
Avalanche beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.4 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–1. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 27 and 34 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 27 shots
DAL 2.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 01:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 02:08 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:58 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 2nd 07:09 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:58 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 14:15 · 5–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 52.
COL 52%DAL 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 01:00 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 02:08 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:58 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 2nd 07:09 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:58 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 14:15 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
