COL
5–0
CHI
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 38-20-5
5–0
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-42-5
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
212214111537
CHI
01508014037
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–1
COL 38-20-5 · CHI 15-42-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–1
Avalanche beat the Blackhawks
The Avalanche earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, and a 5–0 win to show for it. Justus Annunen stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 37 and 37 shots on goal.
COL 3.5 xG · 37 shots
CHI 2.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 12:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 17:22 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 12:38 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Zach Parise · 2nd 17:38 · 4–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:35 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 65.
COL 65%CHI 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 12:31 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 17:22 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 12:38 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Zach Parise · 2nd 17:38 · 4–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:35 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/37 saves · 0 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
