COL
7–2
DET
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 39-20-5
7–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-23-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
216324214754
DET
2150608229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 39-20-5 · DET 33-23-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Red Wings
The Avalanche earned it: 5.0 expected goals to 2.2, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Alex Lyon allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 5.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 54 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 5.0 xG · 54 shots
DET 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 0.2
3rd
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robby Fabbri · 1st 01:48 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 05:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 1st 13:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:07 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 08:49 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 16:12 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Cale Makar · 2nd 19:26 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 07:12 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Jean-Luc Foudy · 3rd 15:25 · 7–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 85.
COL 85%DET 15%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robby Fabbri · 1st 01:48 · PP · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 05:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
David Perron · 1st 13:30 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 17:07 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 08:49 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 16:12 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Cale Makar · 2nd 19:26 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 07:12 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Jean-Luc Foudy · 3rd 15:25 · 7–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
