Colorado Avalanche
COL · 45-20-5
6–1
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 23-35-12
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
114222314650
CBJ
1507012124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 45-20-5 · CBJ 23-35-12 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blue Jackets
The Avalanche earned it: 5.8 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–1 win to show for it. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 2.4 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 50 and 24 shots on goal.
COL 5.8 xG · 50 shots
CBJ 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.5 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
2.4 · 0.6
3rd
1.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Damon Severson · 1st 04:28 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 11:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 05:43 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:07 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:01 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:14 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:38 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 93.
COL 93%CBJ 7%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Damon Severson · 1st 04:28 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 11:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
3
Ross Colton · 2nd 05:43 · GWG · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:07 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:01 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:14 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 13:38 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
44/50 saves · 6 GA · 5.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.