Colorado Avalanche
COL · 46-20-5
5–4
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 30-30-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
0421521011530
PIT
2152120700434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 46-20-5 · PIT 30-30-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Penguins
Down 0–4 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Drouin's goal. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
COL 3.7 xG · 30 shots
PIT 2.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
OT
0.6 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 07:53 · 0–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (55%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 15:11 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 13:47 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 2nd 15:40 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 2nd 16:05 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 19:30 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 03:32 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:22 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Drouin · OT 00:54 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 65.
COL 65%PIT 35%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesse Puljujarvi · 1st 07:53 · 0–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (55%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 15:11 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 13:47 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 2nd 15:40 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Sean Walker · 2nd 16:05 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 19:30 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 03:32 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:22 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Drouin · OT 00:54 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.