COL
7–4
NSH
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 47-21-6
7–4
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 43-27-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
216312214742
NSH
31211409435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–2
COL 47-21-6 · NSH 43-27-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–2
Avalanche beat the Predators
Down 1–3 in the 1st period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Makar's equalizer — and won 7–4. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 42 and 35 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 42 shots
NSH 2.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Smith · 1st 03:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 05:25 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 13:02 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Dante Fabbro · 1st 13:43 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 16:11 · 2–3 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 00:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 05:43 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 2nd 18:25 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 19:31 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:38 · 6–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:10 · 7–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 72.
COL 72%NSH 28%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Smith · 1st 03:41 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 05:25 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 1st 13:02 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Dante Fabbro · 1st 13:43 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 16:11 · PP · 2–3
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 00:57 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 05:43 · PP · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 2nd 18:25 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 19:31 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:38 · 6–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:10 · EN · 7–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/22 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
9/13 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
