COL
4–7
DAL
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 48-24-6
4–7
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 49-20-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
112213113438
DAL
21331628737
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–1
COL 48-24-6 · DAL 49-20-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–1
Avalanche fell to the Stars
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.6 to 3.8 expected goals) and lost 4–7. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 3.8, on 37 and 38 shots on goal.
COL 3.8 xG · 38 shots
DAL 4.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 2.5
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Walker · 1st 01:59 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 17:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:17 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 04:38 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 11:25 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 12:45 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mason Marchment · 2nd 17:10 · 2–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (54%)
8
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 19:15 · 3–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 10:15 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:12 · 4–6 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
11
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 19:51 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 39.
COL 39%DAL 61%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Walker · 1st 01:59 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 17:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:17 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 04:38 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 11:25 · PP · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 12:45 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mason Marchment · 2nd 17:10 · PP · GWG · 2–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (54%)
8
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 19:15 · 3–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 10:15 · 4–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 15:12 · 4–6
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
11
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 4.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
