COL
5–2
MIN
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 49-24-6
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 37-31-10
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2143909532
MIN
2120505222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 4–0
COL 49-24-6 · MIN 37-31-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 4–0
Avalanche beat the Wild
The Avalanche earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 32 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 04:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 08:38 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 10:14 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Boldy · 1st 19:40 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 06:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 19:08 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%MIN 38%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 04:34 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 08:38 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 10:14 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Boldy · 1st 19:40 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 06:15 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 14:50 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 19:08 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
