COL
0–7
WPG
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 49-25-6
0–7
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 50-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
05012013030
WPG
4153704726
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–3
COL 49-25-6 · WPG 50-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–3
Avalanche fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.4 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 0–7. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.4, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.9 xG · 30 shots
WPG 3.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Monahan · 1st 05:59 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 08:02 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 1st 15:07 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Adam Lowry · 1st 15:17 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 10:19 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Sean Monahan · 2nd 15:11 · 0–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2nd 16:33 · 0–7 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 42.
COL 42%WPG 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Monahan · 1st 05:59 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 08:02 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 1st 15:07 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Adam Lowry · 1st 15:17 · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 10:19 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Sean Monahan · 2nd 15:11 · 0–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2nd 16:33 · 0–7
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/11 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
