Colorado Avalanche
COL · 50-25-7
5–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 49-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
41311004527
EDM
1707012126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 50-25-7 · EDM 49-27-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.0 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–1. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 27 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 01:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:48 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 07:37 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Josh Manson · 1st 10:17 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Holloway · 1st 15:22 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Zach Parise · 2nd 12:00 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 56.
COL 56%EDM 44%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 01:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:48 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 07:37 · PP · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Josh Manson · 1st 10:17 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Holloway · 1st 15:22 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Zach Parise · 2nd 12:00 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/14 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.