COL
6–2
WPG
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-1
6–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
112016512640
WPG
0921005224
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–1
COL 2-1 · WPG 1-2 · Game 3 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Jets
The Avalanche earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 24 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 40 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Parise · 1st 11:18 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 05:03 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 10:50 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:11 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 04:39 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:11 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 12:35 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Devon Toews · 3rd 16:25 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 76.
COL 76%WPG 24%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Parise · 1st 11:18 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 05:03 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 10:50 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:11 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 04:39 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:11 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 12:35 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Devon Toews · 3rd 16:25 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
