COL
5–1
WPG
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-1
5–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11331715535
WPG
1907011127
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Avalanche lead the series 3–1
COL 3-1 · WPG 1-3 · Game 4 — the Avalanche lead the series 3–1
Avalanche beat the Jets
The Avalanche earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 3.1 xG · 35 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nate Schmidt · 1st 13:56 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 11:36 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:03 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 19:36 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:47 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 67.
COL 67%WPG 33%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nate Schmidt · 1st 13:56 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 11:36 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:03 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 19:36 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:47 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
