COL
2–6
NYI
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 0-3-0
2–6
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 1-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11205117234
NYI
216211210637
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 0-3-0 · NYI 1-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 2–6. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 37 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 34 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.3
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Calum Ritchie · 1st 01:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 05:33 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 08:25 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 11:14 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 00:39 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 06:48 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 18:48 · 2–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 54.
COL 54%NYI 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Calum Ritchie · 1st 01:01 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Anders Lee · 1st 05:33 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 18:13 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 08:25 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 11:14 · SH · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 00:39 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anthony Duclair · 3rd 06:48 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 18:48 · EN · 2–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Simon Holmstrom, Scott Mayfield · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
