Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-4-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 2-1-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
0181172915449
ANA
28021801319
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 1-4-0 · ANA 2-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Ducks
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Colton's equalizer — and won it in overtime on MacKinnon's goal. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 5.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 49 and 19 shots on goal.
COL 5.7 xG · 49 shots
ANA 3.1 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.9 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.2
3rd
1.1 · 1.3
OT
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leo Carlsson · 1st 06:05 · 0–1 · poke shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Ryan Strome · 1st 19:36 · 0–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 00:57 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Ross Colton · 3rd 00:35 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 11:42 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 19:47 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 04:19 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 81.
COL 81%ANA 19%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leo Carlsson · 1st 06:05 · 0–1
Poke shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Ryan Strome · 1st 19:36 · 0–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 00:57 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Ross Colton · 3rd 00:35 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 11:42 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 19:47 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 04:19 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
45/49 saves · 4 GA · 5.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.