COL
5–4
OTT
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-4-0
5–4
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
18111313532
OTT
0608416430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 5-4-0 · OTT 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Senators
The Avalanche earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, and a 5–4 win to show for it. Justus Annunen allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 4.3 xG · 32 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
1.5 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolai Kovalenko · 1st 19:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (44%)
2
Josh Manson · 2nd 19:42 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 09:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Nick Cousins · 3rd 11:23 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 13:29 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Ross Colton · 3rd 15:01 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:48 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:45 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:50 · 5–4 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 70.
COL 70%OTT 30%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolai Kovalenko · 1st 19:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (44%)
2
Josh Manson · 2nd 19:42 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 09:15 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Nick Cousins · 3rd 11:23 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
5
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 13:29 · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Ross Colton · 3rd 15:01 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 16:48 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:45 · EN · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 19:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Casey Mittelstadt, Samuel Girard · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
