COL
2–5
CHI
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-5-0
2–5
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 3-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2701009226
CHI
3120529526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 5-5-0 · CHI 3-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Blackhawks
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 2–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
CHI 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philipp Kurashev · 1st 08:47 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 10:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Lukas Reichel · 1st 11:04 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Donato · 1st 16:56 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:17 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Ryan Donato · 3rd 19:02 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 19:41 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 53.
COL 53%CHI 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philipp Kurashev · 1st 08:47 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 10:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Lukas Reichel · 1st 11:04 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Donato · 1st 16:56 · GWG · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:17 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Ryan Donato · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ilya Mikheyev · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
