COL
2–5
TBL
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-6-0
2–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
18014113235
TBL
3101912521
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 5-6-0 · TBL 7-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Lightning
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.2 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Kaapo Kahkonen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 35 shots
TBL 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:01 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 03:36 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Conor Geekie · 1st 05:32 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
· 1st 14:56 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 06:28 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 10:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:40 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 68.
COL 68%TBL 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:01 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 03:36 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Conor Geekie · 1st 05:32 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
· 1st 14:56 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 06:28 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 10:57 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:40 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
