COL
6–4
CAR
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-8-0
6–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 10-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0651815629
CAR
11426111431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 7-8-0 · CAR 10-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won 6–4. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 3.0 to 0.9 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.2, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
COL 4.1 xG · 29 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
3.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Drury · 1st 09:02 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 04:37 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 09:13 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Malinski · 2nd 10:57 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 12:26 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 16:42 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:49 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 02:50 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:10 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%CAR 38%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Drury · 1st 09:02 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 04:37 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 09:13 · SH · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Malinski · 2nd 10:57 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 12:26 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 16:42 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:49 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 02:50 · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
10
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
8
Casey Mittelstadt, Nathan MacKinnon · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
