COL
3–2
NSH
Final / OT · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-8-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
062901512332
NSH
1120121501230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 8-8-0 · NSH 5-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, and they won it in overtime on Girard's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.5 xG · 32 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
OT
0.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 01:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:37 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Colton Sissons · 3rd 00:59 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Samuel Girard · OT 02:47 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%NSH 38%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 01:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:37 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Colton Sissons · 3rd 00:59 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Samuel Girard · OT 02:47 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
