Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-12-0
1–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11007011128
EDM
110112210432
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 13-12-0 · EDM 13-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Oilers
The Avalanche were outchanced (3.3 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
EDM 3.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolai Kovalenko · 1st 07:02 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 11:48 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 13:48 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brett Kulak · 3rd 03:56 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:28 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 40.
COL 40%EDM 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolai Kovalenko · 1st 07:02 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 11:48 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Vasily Podkolzin · 2nd 13:48 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brett Kulak · 3rd 03:56 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.