COL
5–2
NSH
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 18-14-0
5–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 8-17-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
08210315533
NSH
013016210239
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 18-14-0 · NSH 8-17-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 39 shots on goal.
COL 2.6 xG · 33 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 2nd 11:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 18:52 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:03 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:08 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:08 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:10 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 48.
COL 48%NSH 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 2nd 11:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 18:52 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:30 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 13:03 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 3rd 15:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:08 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
