COL
5–2
WPG
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 23-15-0
5–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 27-11-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
114111313538
WPG
0102705222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 23-15-0 · WPG 27-11-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 38 and 22 shots on goal.
COL 2.2 xG · 38 shots
WPG 2.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 11:51 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rasmus Kupari · 2nd 10:20 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Devon Toews · 2nd 16:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:32 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 07:22 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:31 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:53 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 48.
COL 48%WPG 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 11:51 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rasmus Kupari · 2nd 10:20 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Devon Toews · 2nd 16:37 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:32 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 07:22 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:31 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
