COL
6–5
BUF
Final / OT · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 24-15-0
6–5
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 14-20-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
091941011629
BUF
210172400521
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 24-15-0 · BUF 14-20-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Sabres
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Drouin's equalizer with 0:08 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Toews's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 29 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 13:17 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:10 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 11:08 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 14:58 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 01:05 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Zach Benson · 3rd 01:27 · 2–4 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:17 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jason Zucker · 3rd 16:09 · 3–5 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 17:34 · 4–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 19:52 · 5–5 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
11
Devon Toews · OT 00:48 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 61.
COL 61%BUF 39%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 13:17 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:10 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 11:08 · PP · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 14:58 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ross Colton · 3rd 01:05 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Zach Benson · 3rd 01:27 · 2–4
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:17 · PP · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jason Zucker · 3rd 16:09 · 3–5
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 17:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
10
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 19:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
11
Devon Toews · OT 00:48 · GWG · 6–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/3 saves · 1 GA · 0.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
