Colorado Avalanche
COL · 27-17-1
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 20-20-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
150811013326
NYR
1101120403229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 27-17-1 · NYR 20-20-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Rangers
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Toews's goal anyway. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
NYR 4.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Parker Kelly · 1st 04:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Sam Carrick · 1st 11:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Adam Edstrom · 2nd 09:59 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 18:47 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Devon Toews · OT 04:23 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 30.
COL 30%NYR 70%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Parker Kelly · 1st 04:53 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Sam Carrick · 1st 11:55 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Adam Edstrom · 2nd 09:59 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 18:47 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Devon Toews · OT 04:23 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.