COL
3–4
EDM
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 27-18-1
3–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 29-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
3609010325
EDM
11321114428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
COL 27-18-1 · EDM 29-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
Avalanche fell to the Oilers
The Avalanche let a 3–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with four unanswered goals — McDavid's equalizer — and won 3–4. The Oilers owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
EDM 3.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 05:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 11:48 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 19:18 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brett Kulak · 2nd 06:17 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 14:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 13:05 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 33.
COL 33%EDM 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 05:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 10:04 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 11:48 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 19:18 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brett Kulak · 2nd 06:17 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 14:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 13:05 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
