COL
6–3
DAL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-18-1
6–3
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 28-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11431329636
DAL
1701428329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 28-18-1 · DAL 28-16-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Stars
The Avalanche earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Casey DeSmith allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 3.6 xG · 36 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.9 · 1.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 13:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 10:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 11:56 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 18:30 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:13 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:08 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:47 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 13:13 · 6–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 65.
COL 65%DAL 35%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 03:24 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 13:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 10:31 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 11:56 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 18:30 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:13 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:08 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:47 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 13:13 · 6–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
