COL
1–3
MIN
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-19-1
1–3
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0417016127
MIN
1901324326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 28-19-1 · MIN 28-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Wild
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 1–3. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 27 shots
MIN 2.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Middleton · 1st 12:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 18:52 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 02:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brock Faber · 3rd 03:43 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 44.
COL 44%MIN 56%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Middleton · 1st 12:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 18:52 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 02:08 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brock Faber · 3rd 03:43 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
