COL
2–3
WPG
Final / OT · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-19-2
2–3
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 32-14-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
091101800227
WPG
08290711325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–3
COL 28-19-2 · WPG 32-14-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–3
Avalanche fell to the Jets
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.2 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Pionk's goal. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 27 shots
WPG 2.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 06:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Morgan Barron · 2nd 10:56 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:44 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 07:05 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (42%)
5
Neal Pionk · OT 00:17 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 66.
COL 66%WPG 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 06:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Morgan Barron · 2nd 10:56 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:44 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 07:05 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (42%)
5
Neal Pionk · OT 00:17 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
David Gustafsson, Josh Morrissey · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
Overtime
5
Vladislav Namestnikov, Connor Hellebuyck · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
